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China’s subsidised industrial overcapacity is weakening Europe’s strategic sectors, from chemicals to clean tech and semiconductors. Europe needs faster trade defence, lower energy costs, and a clearer industrial doctrine to protect its economic sovereignty.
The UK’s macroeconomic weakness is not just cyclical. Brexit raised trade frictions with its largest market, while energy dependence exposed households and industry to price shocks, weakening growth, investment, productivity, and real incomes.
Europe’s startup weakness is not only regulation. The deeper problem is capital scale: smaller venture markets, weaker late-stage funding, fragmented national systems, and thinner exit markets prevent European startups from scaling at US speed.
Europe’s 2025 goods surplus masked a nearly €299bn energy trade deficit. Without imported fossil fuels, the EU’s goods balance would have been far stronger. Electrification and a real single energy market are now central to Europe’s external strength, industrial competitiveness, and strategic autonomy.
The EU’s Savings and Investments Union could unlock trillions in underused household savings, deepen capital markets, lower financing costs, and help close Europe’s annual investment gap. If fully implemented, it would strengthen innovation, resilience, and competitiveness against the US and China.
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