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The US provides 100% of Europe's mid-course missile interception, 83% of NATO's military satellites and 69% of its crewed surveillance aircraft. Europe's defence spending is rising fast, but it is buying platforms rather than the enablers that make autonomy possible.
Brussels asked Britain for EUR 6.5 billion to join a defence fund it would once have shaped for free. With Brexit costing an estimated 4% to 8% of GDP and Europe integrating fast, Labour needs to name membership as the destination rather than negotiate access piece by piece.
Europe saves more than America and invests far less. With EUR 10 trillion idle in deposits and pay-as-you-go pensions building no capital, funded reform could create up to EUR 4.1 trillion in assets by 2040 and give European companies a domestic investor base.
China and India take almost nine out of ten barrels Russia exports, buying discounted crude that cuts their own energy costs while Europe pays for sanctions. The unratified EU–India trade agreement is the leverage Europe still holds.
China buys roughly half of Russia's crude exports and anchors its trade. With US tariff powers now passed by Congress and Russian provocations on NATO's border, Beijing's choice will shape the war. Europe should make that choice costly to get wrong.
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